IN THE SPOTLIGHT: This will go down in history as a Test between Wales and South Africa, the 33rd since the first in 1906. It will become a part of the list of Tests, many of them heroic encounters. And yet the teams will not be the best available to the two countries.
There are injuries and there are players' owners who will not let them play for their countries because the November window is closed as December hurries in.
Last week both Wales and South Africa performed really well - Wales in going down fighting against the might of New Zealand, South Africa in giving Italy a hiding in the Padua rain. The teams this week are different.
Wales have 12 changes to the team that played New Zealand, South Africa 11 to the team that played the Azzurri. Each team has five changes to the starting XV.
The Wales team of 23 has more experience than the South African team - 563 caps against 388. Maybe that will work to good for South Africa - the enthusiasm and fearlessness of youth.
Caps are not the only criterion. Hadleigh Parkes of New Zealand will be making his debut for Wales. He is 30. Lukhanyo Am will probably make his debut for the Springboks. He is 24, and Warrick Gelant with one cap off the bench is just 22. 26-year-old captain Eben Etzebeth is the most capped Springbok with 66 caps. Alun-Wyn Jones, the Welsh captain, is 32 and has 112 caps.
After their player losses behind the scrum, the Welsh backs may well not have the ascendency that one would have expected before November. And so the scrap amongst the forwards may well be most telling with Wales depending much on the speed of their flanks, Aaron Shingler and Josh Davidi. (Davidi is not an obviously Welsh name but then his father is from Iran.)
Players to Watch:
For Wales: Leigh Halfpenny of Wales, a most courageous of rugby players. He is also creative and resilient and has an excellent boot. Hallam Amos on the wing for Wales has speed, strength and skill. He is in the mould of great Welsh wings. It is a treat to watch Alun-Wyn Jones singing the passionate Welsh anthem, Hen Wlad fy Nhadau (Land of My Fathers), with greater passion than all the rest. And then watch him play. Taulupe Faletau, Tongan born but Welsh raised, is a player who works harder than most other players, tackling and charging, and does so with a dead-pan face. He is strong.
For South Africa: On the South Africans side you would want to watch Gelant with the clever feet which would be the envy of every Welsh watcher and set them talking about Phil Bennett. In the centre, Francois Venter had a good match against Italy. Can he build on that against Wales? But the Springbok who has most caught the eye this year is hooker Malcolm Marx, a winner of turnovers who is powerful on the gallop. He has not quite replicated the performance he had against New Zealand at Newlands, but the class is there.
Head to Head: Goal-kicker vs goal-kicker - Leigh Halfpenny vs Handré Pollard. Last week in pouring rain Pollard returned to his best, converting all seven tries. He may just be back to form, in which case he and Halfpenny should have a keen duel - both able to kick long and accurately. Halfpenny is consistently one of the best in the world. The kickers' successes may be limited only by the discipline of their opponents. Front row vs front row - Scott Andrews, Kristian Dacey and Rob Evans vs Wilco Louw, Malcolm Marx and Steven Kitshoff. Both sets are relative neophytes, each front row with a total of 39 caps, but this young South African trio may just be the best for quite some time. The Springboks have a strong look about them and have more beef behind them. Loose forwards vs loose forwards - Taulupe Faletau, Josh Davidi and Aaron Shingler vs Dan du Preez, Pieter-Stef du Toit and Siya Kolisi. It could be the classic struggle of speed vs strength. The Welsh may be better at the breakdown, the Springboks in carrying the ball. And the South African trio adds considerably to line-out possession. Taulupe Faletau vs Dan du Preez - both strong men on defence and forceful in carrying the ball. Dan Biggar vs Handré Pollard. Both are flyhalves who can dictate the game, determining how their teams attack and defend. Both are dependent on the forwards in front of them and the scrumhalf's service. The Springbok forwards may well get on top but Aled Davies may have the better - faster and more accurate - service.
Results this Century:
Wales and South Africa first played in Swansea in 1906 when the Springboks won 11-0, a huge victory. Wales won for the first time in 1999. The match this Saturday will be the 33rd. Of the 32 the Springboks have won 28, Wales three and there was a draw in 1970. Only 10 of the matches have been played in South Africa.
2002: South Africa won 19-8 at Newlands
2002: South Africa won 34-19 at Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein
2004: South Africa won 38-36 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2004: South Africa won 53-18 at Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
2005: South Africa won 33-16 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2007: South Africa won 34-12 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2008: South Africa won 20-15 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2008: South Africa won 37-21 at Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
2008: South Africa won 43-17 at Free State Stadium, Bloemfontein
2010: South Africa won 29-25 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2010: South Africa won 34-31 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2011: South Africa won 17-16 at Westpac Trust, Wellington, New Zealand
2013: South Africa won 24-15 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2014: South Africa won 31-30 at Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
2014: South Africa won 38-16 at Kings Park Stadium, Durban
2014: Wales won 12-6 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
2015: South Africa won 23-19 at Twickenham, London
2016: Wales won 27-13 at Millennium Stadium, Cardiff
Prediction: It's the last match of a mediocre year for the Springboks. Surely they will all want to go home to a cheerful welcome followed by a comfortable lay-off for a while, comfortable because they will know that they have done far better than they did last November when the third of their successive defeats was against Wales who rejoiced in their biggest-ever victory over the Springboks. We believe that South Africa will win by about four points in a high-scoring match.
Teams
Wales: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 Hallam Amos, 13 Scott Williams, 12 Hadleigh Parkes, 11 Steff Evans, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Aled Davies, 8 Taulupe Faletau, 7 Josh Davidi, 6 Aaron Shingler; 5 Alun-Wyn Jones (captain), 4 Cory Hill, 3 Scott Andrews, 2 Kristian Dacey, 1 Rob Evans.
Replacements: 16 Elliot Dee, 17 Wyn Jones, 18 Rhodri Jones, 19 Seb Davies, 20 Dan Lydiate, 21 Rhys Webb, 22 Rhys Patchell, 23 Owen Watkin.
South Africa: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Dillyn Leyds, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Francois Venter, 11 Warrick Gelant, 10 HHandré Pollard, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Dan du Preez, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siya Kolisi, 5 Lood de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth (captain), 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Replacements: 16 Bongi Mbonambi, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Ruan Dreyer, 19 Oupa Mohoje, 20 Uzair Cassiem, 21 Louis Schreuder, 22 Elton Jantjies, 23 Lukhanyo Am.
Date: Saturday, December 2
Kick-off: 14.30 (14.30 GMT; 16.30 South African Time)
Venue: Principality Stadium, Cardiff
Expected weather conditions: The stadium will be sealed, sides and roof, and so the weather is no playing consideration. But for those going into the stadium, there will be high of 8°C, cooling down to 6°C.
Referee: Jérôme Garcès (France)
Assistant referees: Wayne Barnes (England), Frank Murphy (Ireland)
TMO: Rowan Kitt (England)
By Paul Dobson
@rugby365com
MATCH REPORT: The Springboks ended the year on a poor note when they went down 22-24 to a Wales side missing a number of key players in Cardiff on Saturday.
The difference between the two sides was only a conversion, the scoreboard says. But the scoreboard does not tell the full story of the difference in skill and organisation.
Wales, a much weakened side, were better at catching and passing and better at getting into the right positions. They also kicked better, especially out of hand.
In fact it was the boot that set up 14 points for Wales in the first 10 minutes. And their target was the South African left. They scored their three tries on the left and nearly got a fourth down that channel as well.
Dan Biggar kicked off for Wales and Wales attacked as, yet again, the Springboks could not get out of their territory at a kick-off.
From a scrum on Wales's left, near the half-way line, Biggar hoisted a diagonal kick to the right. Hallam Amos, completely unmarked, caught the kick, beat Andries Coetzee and passed inside to Scott Williams who scored. Leigh Halfpenny converted, 7-0 after 5 minutes.
Four minutes later Biggar kicked Wales to their second try.
Wales threw in to a line-out on their right. Taulupe Faletau won the ball and Biggar chipped neatly over the advancing Springbok backs. Hadleigh Parkes, a New Zealander making his debut for Wales, swooped on the ball under Jesse Kriel's nose and score near the posts. 14-0 after 9 minutes.
It was a dream start for the Dragons.
They nearly got another when Biggar, going right, kicked another high diagonal and Pollard did not catch it. Amos grabbed it and started running. He gave inside to Faletau and Wales were close. Amos got closest but lost the ball forward, The Springboks survived.
In the first half, the Springboks were not penalised but Wales were - six times. Two penalties set the Springboks attacking and they mauled over the line. Malcolm Marx - and all his team-mates - believed that he had scored but the TMO could find no evidence of grounding. The Springboks had to be satisfied with a five-metre scrum from which they attacked. Francois Venter was close but Wales intercepted and Steff Evans went racing down the midfield, kicking ahead to put his side back in Springbok territory.
The Springboks attacked down the right with Siya Kolisi and Marx prominent. They went through phases and Josh Navidi was penalised for a high tackle. Pollard goaled the easy kick. 14-3 after 31 minutes.
The Springbok got the ball back from the kick-off, and Coetzee was to kick, but Biggar charged down the kick. Faletau got the ball and, as Warrick Gelant was tackling him, passed inside to Parkes who scored his second try in his first Test. 21-3 after 32 minutes. Wales would score again 35 minutes later and then it counted enormously.
Wales kicked into the Springbok 22 where Dillyn Leyds got the ball and started running, darting through Welshmen in counterattack. The ball came to Kriel on the left and he hoofed it downfield. Gelant won the race to the ball bouncing in the Welsh in-goal and he scored a try. 21-10 after 38 minutes.
In the last passage of play of the half, Eben Etzebeth was injured and replaced at the start of the second half by Oupa Mohoje.
The Springboks attacked in the start of the second half. They went wide and Dan du Preez was close. A penalty have them a five-metre line-out. They mauled and Steven Kitshoff was close. The ball came back to Cronje who gave to Pollard who burst through Aled Davies to score. His conversion hit the upright and stayed out. That narrow piece of wood would prove valuable to Wales. 21-15 after 46 minutes.
Rhys Patchell came on for Biggar who went for a head injury assessment, which he failed.
Patchell's first act was to kick a diagonal to the right where Amos was, again, unmarked but a pass went astray and the Springboks survived - and scored.
From a line-out the Springboks went right, then back left where Marx gave Kriel a perfect pass some 15 metres from the line. Kriel raced ahead and through Halfpenny to score in the corner. Pollard converted from far out and, surprise, the Springboks led 22-21 with 15 minutes to play.
With 13 minutes to play, Pieter-Stef du Toit was penalised at a tackle in front of his posts and Halfpenny goaled the simple kick to restore the lead to Wales at 24-22.
In those 13 minutes, Wales defended with great determination as the Springboks strove to get back the lead. Their efforts were twice thwarted when Elton Jantjies knocked on and then the Welsh held Lukhanyo Am up for a scrum, the final whistle sounded.
for the third time in succession Wales had beaten the Springboks at Principality/Millennium Stadium.
Man of the Match: The candidates are Welsh - Dan Biggar, Hadleigh Parkes, Hallam Amos and the loose forwards Aaron Shingler, Josh Navidi and Taulupe Faletau, and our choice is Taulupe Faletau for his hard work on defence, his strength in carrying and his part in Parkes's try.
Moment of the Match: Dan Biggar's diagonal to Hallam Amos.
Villain of the Match: Nobody on the field, nobody at all.
The scorers:
For Wales:
Tries: Williams, Parkes 2
Cons: Halfpenny 3
Pen: Halfpenny
For South Africa:
Tries: Gelant, Pollard, Coetzee
Cons: Pollard 2
Pen: Pollard
Teams
Wales: 15 Leigh Halfpenny, 14 Hallam Amos, 13 Scott Williams, 12 Hadleigh Parkes, 11 Steff Evans, 10 Dan Biggar, 9 Aled Davies, 8 Taulupe Faletau, 7 Josh Navidi, 6 Aaron Shingler; 5 Alun-Wyn Jones (captain), 4 Cory Hill, 3 Scott Andrews, 2 Kristian Dacey, 1 Rob Evans.
Replacements: 16 Elliot Dee, 17 Wyn Jones, 18 Rhodri Jones, 19 Seb Davies, 20 Dan Lydiate, 21 Rhys Webb, 22 Rhys Patchell, 23 Owen Watkin.
South Africa: 15 Andries Coetzee, 14 Dillyn Leyds, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Francois Venter, 11 Warrick Gelant, 10 Handré Pollard, 9 Ross Cronje, 8 Dan du Preez, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siya Kolisi, 5 Lood de Jager, 4 Eben Etzebeth (captain), 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Steven Kitshoff.
Replacements: 16 Bongi Mbonambi, 17 Trevor Nyakane, 18 Ruan Dreyer, 19 Oupa Mohoje, 20 Uzair Cassiem, 21 Louis Schreuder, 22 Elton Jantjies, 23 Lukhanyo Am.
Referee: Jérôme Garcès (France)
Assistant referees: Wayne Barnes (England), Frank Murphy (Ireland)
TMO: Rowan Kitt (England)
Half Time